Question | Answer |
---|---|
What is the purpose of the Intend Synopsis Tool? |
The tool constitutes a dynamic knowledge base repository on the major developments in the transport sector. It provides a visualization of the INTEND’s main outcomes. The basis for the platform is the Transport Research Synopsis Tool which has already been developed in the project RACE2050 coordinated by TUB. The new tool, will be updated and integrated into the INTEND website, provides a comprehensive picture of all forward-looking studies focusing on technological developments, megatrends and policies. The Synopsis Tool is showing the outcomes of the pairwise impact assessment of different Megatrends, Political Imperatives, and Technological Advances impact on the priority of key transport concepts of the future (TCF). Following the Analytical Network Process (ANP) Approach it was thus, based on experts’ assessment, possible to rank selected TCF according to the relevancy of each sub-category of Technological Advances, Political Imperatives and Megatrends. |
How does it work? |
Via the control panel on the right side of the tool it is possible to enable the slider showing the spider graphs, ranking the TCF according to their relevancy, for a certain Megatrend, Political Imperative or Technological Advances by stakeholder. |
What are “Transport Concepts of the Future”? |
“Transport concepts” have been identified as concepts or ideas that present how mobility takes place between two places, referring to movement of passengers or freight. They might describe the vehicle and the way that transportation or mobility takes place. Within the frame of the project task T 2.2 relevant “Transport concepts of the future” have been identified through a methodology based on an extended literature research. The most relevant “Transport concepts of the future” were validated through expert interviews and, as a second step, the application of the ANP. |
What are Megatrends? |
Megatrends represent cultural, economic, political and technological changes that are currently taking place and the effects or implications of megatrends are reflected on the whole or almost entire society. In contrast to trends, megatrends last longer and have a stronger influence in various areas. Moreover, trend development patterns are easier to understand and predict than those of megatrends. |
What are Political Imperatives? |
Political Imperatives (PIs) can be conceived in two ways: 1.A PI can be a demand or claim to take a certain action or realize a certain target state and is usually formulated by politicians (as part of the political debate), NGO’s, private entities (e.g. companies) and research institutions, to give an example. 2.A PI can be a formulated intention to take a certain action or realize a desired target state by politicians or political bodies like governments, ministries etc. The formulated demand or claim can also be seen as a first step in the political discourse to shape actual political action. |
What are Technological Advances? |
Technological Advances are basically key transport technologies with an outlook of 2020 – 2035 across the four transport modes (road, aviation, rail and maritime) including infrastructure and transport system which were treated horizontally. |
What does the methodological concept behind the tool’s data look like? |
The data of the tool is based on an Excel-Sheet containing the results of the Analytical Network Process (ANP). The basis of the ANP methodology is that the results are obtained through the perception of experts belonging to different interest groups. The INTEND survey session, in which ninety representatives from three different groups (academia, policy making, and industry) participated, helped to structure the ANP model, and to perform the pairwise assessment of elements while pointing out the megatrends, political imperatives, and technological advances impact on the priority of key transport concepts of the future. The pairwise comparison combined with an impartial attitude of the respondents from the different group implies that an estimation of megatrends impact on a TCFs is the equal treated or similar without any difference. For more information on ANP, please check the related Deliverables of WP 3. |
Ageing Society | ageing world population; increased life expectancy |
Bigger world economy | growth of the world economic output; GDP growth; increase of international trade |
Changing Lifestyles | changing reproduction and family lifestyle; generational shift - flexible and attractive works; global and greater connectivity; fitness trends; demand for experiences; loneliness and single person households; individual - freelancing models; empowerment of women; online shopping; collaborative consumption - sharing economy |
Energy demand and sources | increased energy usage, energy investments, usage of renewable sources of energy and alternative fuels, fuel efficiency, global energy mix |
Environmental challenges - climate change | decrease in carbon emissions, global temperature increase, sea level arise, increased risk of flooding from melting glaciers, adaptation and mitigation policies, development of carbon markets |
Urbanization and megacities | higher population densities, improvements in cities infrastructure, environmental and health risks; PPP models; more sustainable cities. |
Vehicle efficiency | Vehicle efficiency should be addressed as a key factor to gain more energy efficicency/ reduce consumption |
Closer public and private cooperation | private investments in the network need to become more attractive [incl. PPP] |
Raising investment in infrastructure | modernization, capacity upgrade in rural and urban areas |
Digitization | at national, European and international level (incl. transport sector) |
Supporting modal shift | aviation to rail or inland waterway, motorized to public transport/active modes |
Innovative research system | stronger evaluation and coordination of research policies and their impact, international research in strategic fields, long-term [basic] research considering the innovation cycle, supporting side-paths in risky but promising fields [where failing is too expensive for private research) |
Increasing connectivity, intermodal access and fit-for-purpose network standards | increase connectivity, intermodal access and fit-for-purpose network standards |
Automation | (Autonomous and automated operation of vehicles: Personal air transportation drones; Advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS); Human Machine Interface; Coordinated platooning; Autonomous trains; Automated ship operations) |
Electrified vehicles/vessels | (Electrification of vehicles and vessels including electrification of auxiliary systems, hybrid vehicles/vessels and fuel cell vehicles/vessels: Electric and Hybrid electric ships; demonstrators for electric/ hydrogen fuel cell or hybrid vehicles and vessels; Electrified auxiliary systems for trucks; Electrified auxiliary systems for ships) |
Infrastructure | (Development of infrastructure: Fast and inductive charging; On road inductive charging; Hydrogen Refueling infrastructure; Alternative Maritime Power (AMP- cold ironing); Future rail stationand airport design for intermodality; Smart & connected port; Smart grids) |
Automation in passenger transport | driverless vehicles, including autonomous cars, aircrafts, trains |
Automation in freight transport | driverless vehicles, including autonomous cars, aircrafts, trains, vessels for freight transportation |
Shared mobility, on- demand mobility | shared mobility schemes, e.g. car-, bike- and ride- sharing; on demand resp. demand-responsive mobility; MaaS – a single-digital service integrating public and private forms of transport and provides end-to-end planning, booking and payment options |
Electrification in freight transport | electrified vehicles, including electric trucks, aircrafts and vessels for freight transportation |
Electrification in passenger transport | EVs, including electric cars, trains, aircrafts and vessels/ferries for passenger transportation |
Seamless transport chains | seamless transport chains for passenger transport; national and international travel; as a result of MaaS |
Seamless transport chains | seamless transport chains for freight transport; seamless logistics – smooth combination of different modes and minimization of delays / interruptions in the logistic chain; seamless multimodal freight transport services |
Personal air transportation | urban air mobility; passenger drones for urban passenger transport |
Delivery drones | small unmanned air vehicles supporting urban deliveries; delivery drones as an indivisible part of the supply chain; delivery drones to cater for hard-to-reach |
Freight consolidation hubs, freight distribution centers | multimodal settlements that provide access to different modes of transport for transport-oriented companies, logistic service providers and production enterprises; inter-modal infrastructure facilities provision; optimization of deliveries, efficiency increase and traffic/emissions reduction in city centres |
Mart use of travel time | time made available because of vehicles automation; travel time as a usable timeslot for leisure, socializing or work-related activities |
High-speed rail | high-speed trains for passenger transport; high- speed rail networks as an alternative to aviation |
Superfast ground and underground transportation | hyperloops for passenger transport; hyperloop for faster and more sustainable surface transportation |
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 769638.
Intend means INtentify future Transport rEsearch NeeDs.
Intend received funding from the European Horizon 2020 Programme (Mobility for Growth/ MG-8-7-2017).
It is a coordination and support action and is running from October, 2017 until October, 2018
(Picture: © Norman Döge)
National climate commitments to date will not be sufficient to keep global warming to below 2°C.
Transportation has the highest growth of CO2 emissions of any industrial sector.
According to the Paris Agreement, the reinforcement of innovative transport technologies and innovation support would be the solution.
At a time of public budget constraints, major demographic changes and increasing global competition, Europe‘s competitiveness and, overall, maintain our future standard of living depends on our ability to drive innovation.
Based on scientific breakthroughs in recent years, the explosion in the knowledge on transport systems is set to deliver a continous stream of new applications.
(Picture: © Alkiviadis Tromaras)
Coventry University Enterprises Ltd. – CUE Ltd. (project coordinator)
Centre for Research and Technology Hellas / Hellenic Institute of Transport – CERTH
University of Belgrade, Faculty of Transport and Traffic Engineering – FTTE
Zurich University of Applied Sciences, Institute of Sustainable Development – ZAHW
Technische Universität Berlin – TUB
(Picture: © zhaw, Institute of Sustainable Development)
(Picture: Anna Dziubinska on Unsplash)
Please, join us via facebook, twitter or LinkedIn.
Subscribe to our newsletter.
Follow our latest news post on www.intend – project.eu.
We will be present at several conferences. Please check our website, follow us via our social media channels to stay tuned!
Visit our final conference in 2018 in Belgrade.
Please, contact: info@intend – project.eu
Intend means INtentify future Transport rEsearchNeeDs.
Intend received funding from the European Horizon 2020 Programme (Mobility for Growth/ MG-8-7-2017 ).
It is a coordination and support action running from October, 2017 until October, 2018.
1. Definition of the research landscape by reviewing literature related to technological advances, political imperatives, future transport concepts, foward looking research projects,
2. Understanding the conditions by definition and validation – with the help of experts – of Megatrends and their impact on the transport concepts of the future using the Analytical Network Process (ANP),
3. Delivering Mid term research priorities by developing a sketch of the future transport system, identifying gaps between ongoing R&D streams – fields of technology and development of the mobility system itself) , delivering a blueprint on transport needs, priorities and opportunities – especially by trying to identify and integrate blind spots beyond the mainstream.
General Goal
Intermediate goal
Methodology
Targeted results
General goal
Intermediate goal
Methodology – a structured approach based on the application of the Analytic Network Process (ANP) with three steps
1. Clustering technological advances, political imperatives, megatrends and key transport concepts of the future,
2. Identification and estimation of relationships (weights) between all elements in clusters and between the clusters,
3. Determination of the prioritized elements (technological advances, megatrends and political imperatives) in all clusters for successful implementation and realization of key transport concepts of the future.
Targeted Results
The updated transport synopsis tool
General Goal
Methodology – for elaborating the guidelines for a forward looking transport sector –
1.A sketch of the future transport system will be developed pointing out the differences to the recent system – based on desk research and results from previous work steps.
2.Second, the impacts of potential game changers for the transport system will be elaborated through qualitative expert interviews – providing hypothesis concerning the development of the transport system to be tested in an online survey.
3.Third, based on the results a transport research agenda will be elaborated, pointing out research needs, priorities and opportunities in the transport sector beyond mainstream research.
Targeted Results
Please, join us via facebook, twitter or LinkedIn.
Subscribe to our newsletter.
Follow our latest news posts on intend-project.eu.
Where can I meet the Intend consortium partners?
We will be present at several conferences. Please check our website, follow us via our social media channels to stay tuned!
Visit our final conference in 2018 in Belgrade.
Please, contact: info@intend-project.eu