National climate commitments to date will not be sufficient to keep global warming to below 2°C.
Transportation has the highest growth of CO2 emissions of any industrial sector.
According to the Paris Agreement, the reinforcement of innovative transport technologies and innovation support would be the solution.
At a time of public budget constraints, major demographic changes and increasing global competition, Europe‘s competitiveness and, overall, maintain our future standard of living depends on our ability to drive innovation.
Based on scientific breakthroughs in recent years, the explosion in the knowledge on transport systems is set to deliver a continous stream of new applications.
Intend will analyse the transport research landscape.
(mapping technological and service developments, mobility concepts, research system trends)
Intend will identify important Megatrends and analyze their impact on research needs
(reviewing, clustering and validating Megatrends; assessing their impact and the one of policies on the formulation of transport research needs)
Intend will identify the main transport research needs and priorities.
(performing a gap analysis, identifying main transport research needs and priorities)
Coventry University Enterprises Ltd. – CUE Ltd. (project coordinator)
Centre for Research and Technology Hellas / Hellenic Institute of Transport – CERTH
University of Belgrade, Faculty of Transport and Traffic Engineering – FTTE
Zurich University of Applied Sciences, Institute of Sustainable Development – ZAHW
Technische Universität Berlin – TUB
Definition of the research landscape by reviewing literature related to technological advances, political imperatives, future transport concepts, foward looking research projects
Understanding the conditions by definition and validation – with the help of experts – of Megatrends and their impact on the transport concepts of the future using the Analytical Network Process (ANP)
Delivering Mid term research priorities by developing a sketch of the future transport system, identifying gaps between ongoing R&D streams – fields of technology and development of the mobility system itself ), delivering a blueprint on transport needs, priorities and opportunities – especially by trying to identify and integrate blind spots beyond the mainstream
Intend means INtentify future Transport rEsearchNeeDs.
Intend received funding from the European Horizon 2020 Programme (Mobility for Growth/ MG-8-7-2017 ).
It is a coordination and support action running from October, 2017 until October, 2018.
1.Definition oftheresearchlandscape by reviewing literature related to technological advances, political imperatives, future transport concepts, foward looking research projects,
2. Understanding theconditions by definition and validation – with the help of experts – of Megatrends and their impact on the transport concepts of the future using the Analytical Network Process (ANP),
3. Delivering Mid termresearchpriorities by developing a sketch of the future transport system, identifying gaps between ongoing R&D streams – fields of technology and development of the mobility system itself) , delivering a blueprint on transport needs, priorities and opportunities – especially by trying to identify and integrate blind spots beyond the mainstream.
Defining the landscape (work package 2) – 1
Review of pertinent literature to identify future technological trends, mobility concepts for passenger and freight transport across, with an on outlook of 2020-2035 and identify political imperatives required for the uptake of these technologies.
To identify the future technologies, mobility concepts and political imperatives that will allow the European transportation sector to meet its goals for sustainable decarbonized transport
Defining the landscape (work package 2) – 2
Review of European & international research transport projects, technological roadmaps and reports by transport associations and stakeholders and extraction of the future technologies,
Clustering of the future technologies into thematic areas,
Identification of future mobility concepts through reports and past forward looking research projects,
Review and appraisal of political imperatives and tools according to policy gaps identified.
Creation of a transport project and future technologies handbook offering review of technology oriented projects and studies that will identify the future technologies required by the transport sector,
Valuable feedback for WP3 and WP4 in order a) to describe the future transport system and b) to identify the research gaps required to achieve this system.
Understanding the conditions (work package 3) – 1
Elaborate the impact of the most important trends, i.e. megatrends, technological advances in passenger and freight transportation, and political imperatives on realization of the transport concepts of the future.
Identification of potential global megatrends which are most likely to impact the transport concepts of the future.
Understanding the conditions (work package 3) – 2
Methodology – a structured approach based on the application of the Analytic Network Process (ANP) with three steps
1. Clustering technological advances, political imperatives, megatrends and key transport concepts of the future,
2. Identification and estimation of relationships (weights) between all elements in clusters and between the clusters,
3. Determination of the prioritized elements (technological advances, megatrends and political imperatives) in all clusters for successful implementation and realization of key transport concepts of the future.
Identified importance of key technological advances, political imperatives and megatrends for priorities of selected transport concepts of the future,
Delivering an important input for the definition of future transport research priorities.
Understanding the conditions (work package 3) – 3
The transport research synopsis tool has been developed during the Race 2050 project to compare the assessments of European transport industry foresights
During the project-runtime of Intend the tool will be updated to compare different transport concepts of the future and the importance of the respective cluster indicators based on their ANP assessment.
Guidelines for a foward looking transport sector (work package 4) – 1
Characterization of the future transport system and identification of the potential differences to the recent system
This sketch does not only consider technological and infrastructural developments, but includes in its holistic manner a wide spectrum of influencing factors – aspects, which are relevant for the transformation of the transport system, e.g. the changing role of mobility and behaviour patterns, political reaction to climate change or change of spatial structure –
Methodology – for elaborating the guidelines for a forward looking transport sector –
1.A sketch of the future transport system will be developed pointing out the differences to the recent system – based on desk research and results from previous work steps.
2.Second, the impacts of potential game changers for the transport system will be elaborated through qualitative expert interviews – providing hypothesis concerning the development of the transport system to be tested in an online survey.
3.Third, based on the results a transport research agenda will be elaborated, pointing out research needs, priorities and opportunities in the transport sector beyond mainstream research.
Guidelines will finally serve the European Commission officials as well as transport industry stakeholders, researchers and members of the public to direct policy-making, research efforts or industrial R&D towards the main future challenges.
This will ultimately enhance long-term competitiveness and innovation in the European transport sector.
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